Forecasts of analysts: In early trading correction in oil prices could make oil and gas company leaders to reduce

 
  
 
 
  25.08.09 09:53 ;
  Russia's stock exchanges began trading Monday on the positive territory. Messages that Rostehnologii this week could announce the creation of a single automobile corporation, which will unite Russia's automobile KAMAZ and AvtoVAZ in the new holding company that brought shares in these companies leaders in growth. Following the session, the ordinary shares of AvtoVAZ has grown on 16,25%, preferred an increase of 10,68%, and the paper KAMAZ added the 15%.

Among blue chips observed the dynamics of different directions. Noticeably better than the market looked Paper NLMK (0.95%), «Severstal» (2.51%), «RusHydro» (0.78%). Among the leaders was marked by growth and banking sector in the face of preference shares «Sberbank» (5,86%). In the outsiders were paper «Norilsk nickel» (-1.56%), «Surgutneftegaz» (-1.06%), FGC UES (-1.65%), prefecture «Tatneft» (-1.05%) and «Transneft» (-1.06%).

Following trades RTS index closed at 1,094 points (4.15%), while the MICEX index added 1.31% (1120.54 points).

Before the opening of Russia's market on Tuesday formed a moderately negative external background. American sites have closed before the decline, the auctions in Asia are mainly in the «red zone»: Japanese Nikkei fell more than 0,5%, the index of wide market Topix 0,8%. Korean Kospi traded at zero. Chinese CSI 300 INDEX fell by more than 3,5%.

Oil prices are also now several weeks can not be confident to break the strong resistance level - $ 75 per barrel Brent. This, according to experts, shows the weakness of the medium «black gold». The current time, Brent crude traded at $ 73.72 per barrel.

Futures on the U.S. S P500 decreased by 0.3%.

Against this background, most analysts expect a negative opening of Russia's playgrounds. Because of the correction in oil prices in decline leaders at the opening of the paper may be oil and gas sector. Reduction capitalization of U.S. financial companies can negatively affect the stock quotations of domestic banks.

According to the analyst FG «Kalita-Finance» Alexei Vyazovskii, MICEX trade results may lose 1-2%, dropping below the 1,100 points.

«Today the dynamics of trading on the stock sites will largely depend on the quotations on the currency pair EUR /USD. In the case of growth of the dollar against the euro in anticipation of large-scale deployment of U.S. treasury bonds, we can see a correction in the stock market duration 1-2 days », - says the analyst IR« Vestiga »Dmitry clerks.

According to the analyst IK «Eurogreen» Paul Head, Russia's stock market today at the opening will go down because of buckling of oil and U.S. futures. «MICEX index back down to 1110, and then will check the strength of support in 1100. not excluded that in the afternoon, the index will unfold through the external background, if the statistics do not bring unpleasant surprises. In this case, we can see the growth of the MICEX Index to 1140 », - the expert believes.

Today is expected to be published the following data: at 10.00 Moscow time - preliminary GDP (Germany) 17.00 - change in house prices, 18.00 - consumer confidence, 18.00-index of business activity in the manufacturing sector (U.S.).


  

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