Results of previous day
In the last day of summer gone Russia's stock market once again failed to stand above the significant milestone of 1100 points on the MICEX index, reducing to zero to achieve the previous week.
RTS Index dipped 2.1% to 1066.53 points, MICEX - to 1.74% to 1091.98 points. Trading volumes in the absence of activity on the stock exchanges in London, including in Russia's sector of depositary receipts, due to national holiday were on the floor for the last time values.
To tell the events agenda and lack of investors from the Britons did not promise anything except to local traffic on the global markets in anticipation of future publications on indicators of business activity in manufacturing and services sectors in key economies of the world, as well as monthly data on Unemployment in the United States. However, this scenario is quiet summer trading largely sideways in the Asian session has been violated.
again disturber of the public peace was the Chinese stock market, whose index of Shanghai composite, crashing to the maximum value since the beginning of the year (-6.7%), failed even before the May levels. Catalyst downward dynamics have data on magazine Caijing, which confirmed the circulating talk that China begins to phase out the program to stimulate the economy. Directive, the regulator of China lowered the level below in the lending institutions were filled with the necessary thoroughness - when in June of lending volume amounted to 1.53 trillion yuan in July, they fell to 355.9 billion yuan, and in August, already up to 200 billion yuan. Coupled with the earlier reported the intention to improve in some areas, leading to a decline in investment programs, taken by China to reduce the vector of the impact of programs to support the economy should not doubt. Given the fact that the first green shoots in the world economy have appeared in the Asian region and particularly China, but for the moment the stock market of this country begins to signal the loss of growth momentum, the rest of the world that too can not but alarm.
Such fears in slowing the degree of recovery of the Chinese economy, but also the entire world economy as a whole, possess the minds of traders around the world. There was a decrease in appetite for risk, vylivsheesya decrease in quotations on the stock and commodity markets and the increasing interest in safe assets. Futures on U.S. indexes before the opening of Russia's stock market went into a deep, negative, oil prices began to move away from the highs reached after a rebound from $ 70/barr. of a mixture of WTI, which led to the discovery of the MICEX Index with more than a 1% gepom down, just below the psychological mark of 1100 points.
In the future, in view of the fact that the impact of the China factor had spread to the European stock markets, while oil prices continued their way south to the $ 70/barr. bulls were unable to summon the desire to compete for 1,100 points and gradually began to take positions. Incidentally, the Bears did not have to deploy large-scale assault in the absence of activity in the sector of depositary receipts in London and seeing the line items on the 1090 short-term uptrend along with Friday gepom up.
Prior to the auction in the United States bears, despite the fact that oil prices are for Monday lost $ 3 in value, and not decided on any aggressive action, considering it appropriate only to overcome the short-term trend line upward. Released an encouraging index of business activity in the manufacturing sector, Chicago PMI, which reached the turn in 50% and is set to a positive mood on Tuesday published a general index of ISM, was the signal for the closing of short positions intraday players. Do not have to risk players who opened short, fearing a strong rebound in oil prices from psychological support at $ 70/barr. As a result, Friday and close the gap down the MICEX index has failed, but its closing was held just above 1090 points.
looked worse than the market of paper representatives of Steel: NLMK (-3.77%), MMK (-2.84%), Severstal (-2.59%), which received a blow in addition to the deteriorating conditions in the commodity markets and a weak report on China's Baoshan Steel, as well as pessimistic comments of its representatives in the prospects for the metallurgical industry. MMC Norilsk Nickel (-2.87%) were forced to take account of changing attitudes on the world markets to the shares of mining companies. Hedge quality producers of precious metals stocks: Polyus Gold (-0.59%) and Polymetal (-1.02%) since the fall in gold prices is not apparent. As a result, the industry index Micex MM (-2.38%) recorded the greatest losses among all sectoral indices.
In the oil and gas sector (Micex OG -1.52%) despite the sharp decline in the value of black gold investors were in no hurry to part with the shares. The last round of demand was in the preferred shares of Transneft (4.6%). Tomorrow the papers will be included in the index MSCI Russia, which will make this idea is outdated. Better opponents looked shares Gazprom Neft (-0.41%), forgetting the imposition of FAS record fine for violation of antitrust laws. Paper Rosneft (-2.27%) in anticipation of publishing a report on the US GAAP for the II quarter looked worse than competitors.
Financial Sector (Micex FNL -1.53%) due to sales of shares of financial institutions in Europe in view of the fact that the Irish government can not throw a lifeline sinking financial sector, could not boast a better than market dynamics: VTB (-1.37%), Sberbank (-1.7% obyk., Priva. -2.18%).
Energy Sector (Micex PWR -0.35%) отметился smaller net positive contribution by suffering RusHydro shares (2.32%) and shares of FGC UES (1.13%), who continued to win back expectations of a speedy transfer of network companies on a new system of tariff regulation of RAB.
look at today's market
meltdown in the Chinese stock market tarnished the last day of summer and the U.S. stock market (SP 500 -0.81%). Worries that the prevailing price levels may be more optimistic than they should, given the rise of the factors pointing to a likely slowdown in the locomotive of world economy outweighed favorable index published by the Chicago PMI and the effect of 2 major mergers and acquisitions, totaling $ 9.5 billion increased uncertainty in the stock market contributed to interest in US Treasuries and the robustness of the shares of defensive sectors. On Tuesday futures for U.S. indices (SP 500 0.23%) are in moderate plus.
Asian stock index (MSCI Asia Pacific 0.5%) before restore lost positions. The reason for the change of sentiment was the publication of the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector in China (54.0%), grown-up to the maximum of sixteen. Chinese Shanghai composite (1.72%) demonstrated growth after fell the most since the beginning of the previous day.
Publication optimistic PMI in the manufacturing sector of the Middle Kingdom has provided certainty to market participants, who decided to buy seriously fallen in price on the eve of commodity contracts. Oil prices after the closure of Russia's stock market on the sort of failed WTI below the breakpoint of $ 70 and just this morning able to cross it in the opposite direction ($ 70.32/barr.).
Russia's stock market on Tuesday with the price gap opens up within 0.5% immediately cleared up yesterday near the bottom lines of short-term uptrend, located on the MICEX index at 1097 points. Morning purchases may stall in gepe down Monday - 1100-1105 points. It is also worth noting that despite the optimistic data from China, at the auctions in Asia the former unbridled optimism, they have not caused, as in trading in U.S. stocks in mining and oil companies have lost on the eve of an average of 2% of its exchange value. The latter can haunt after the start of trading in the sector of depositary receipts in case oil prices once again will show a tendency to decrease. It should be noted that on the eve of the bidders in Russia in the absence of guidance from London, showed no desire to respond to a sharp fall in the value of black gold. During the day you should pay attention to the index PMI in industrial sphere eurozone (12-00), Britain (12-30), and the ISM index in the U.S. (18-00). Also in 18-00 are data on expenditure on construction in the U.S. and the index of pending transactions involving the sale of housing. The worst of the market today may look like Gazprom's shares and the prefecture of Transneft after the entry into force of changes in the index MSCI Russia. Supported by speakers levels in 1085 and 1075 points on the MICEX index. In general, you can expect to maintain or expand a small range of yesterday's trading. For the revision downward glance there is no reason.
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Analyst Ratings
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The Fed will be able to prevent the acceleration of inflation
WTO authorized Brazil to impose sanctions on goods from the U.S.
Leading bank: Stelmakh request to amend the regulations of the NBU to protect the rights of bondholders
Crushed
Cabinet wants to deal with the absorption of small banks and the NBU is preparing a new moratorium on early withdrawal of deposits …
Ukrainian stock market began the week lower against the background of negative external dynamics
European stocks fell on Monday on fears of redundancy of the recent rally
Returning to the market a large number of participants in September may limit the rise in prices for nonferrous metals
Lead the growth of today will be oil shares, additional growth factor may be the reporting company Rosneft on the US GAAP for the second quarter
In the first hour of trading on Russia's market may experience increased volatility
Morning purchase today may stall in gepe down Monday - 1100-1105 items
Results of previous day
In the last day of summer gone Russia's stock market once again failed to stand above the significant milestone of 1100 points on the MICEX index, reducing to zero to achieve the previous week.
RTS Index dipped 2.1% to 1066.53 points, MICEX - to 1.74% to 1091.98 points. Trading volumes in the absence of activity on the stock exchanges in London, including in Russia's sector of depositary receipts, due to national holiday were on the floor for the last time values.
To tell the events agenda and lack of investors from the Britons did not promise anything except to local traffic on the global markets in anticipation of future publications on indicators of business activity in manufacturing and services sectors in key economies of the world, as well as monthly data on Unemployment in the United States. However, this scenario is quiet summer trading largely sideways in the Asian session has been violated.
again disturber of the public peace was the Chinese stock market, whose index of Shanghai composite, crashing to the maximum value since the beginning of the year (-6.7%), failed even before the May levels. Catalyst downward dynamics have data on magazine Caijing, which confirmed the circulating talk that China begins to phase out the program to stimulate the economy. Directive, the regulator of China lowered the level below in the lending institutions were filled with the necessary thoroughness - when in June of lending volume amounted to 1.53 trillion yuan in July, they fell to 355.9 billion yuan, and in August, already up to 200 billion yuan. Coupled with the earlier reported the intention to improve in some areas, leading to a decline in investment programs, taken by China to reduce the vector of the impact of programs to support the economy should not doubt. Given the fact that the first green shoots in the world economy have appeared in the Asian region and particularly China, but for the moment the stock market of this country begins to signal the loss of growth momentum, the rest of the world that too can not but alarm.
Such fears in slowing the degree of recovery of the Chinese economy, but also the entire world economy as a whole, possess the minds of traders around the world. There was a decrease in appetite for risk, vylivsheesya decrease in quotations on the stock and commodity markets and the increasing interest in safe assets. Futures on U.S. indexes before the opening of Russia's stock market went into a deep, negative, oil prices began to move away from the highs reached after a rebound from $ 70/barr. of a mixture of WTI, which led to the discovery of the MICEX Index with more than a 1% gepom down, just below the psychological mark of 1100 points.
In the future, in view of the fact that the impact of the China factor had spread to the European stock markets, while oil prices continued their way south to the $ 70/barr. bulls were unable to summon the desire to compete for 1,100 points and gradually began to take positions. Incidentally, the Bears did not have to deploy large-scale assault in the absence of activity in the sector of depositary receipts in London and seeing the line items on the 1090 short-term uptrend along with Friday gepom up.
Prior to the auction in the United States bears, despite the fact that oil prices are for Monday lost $ 3 in value, and not decided on any aggressive action, considering it appropriate only to overcome the short-term trend line upward. Released an encouraging index of business activity in the manufacturing sector, Chicago PMI, which reached the turn in 50% and is set to a positive mood on Tuesday published a general index of ISM, was the signal for the closing of short positions intraday players. Do not have to risk players who opened short, fearing a strong rebound in oil prices from psychological support at $ 70/barr. As a result, Friday and close the gap down the MICEX index has failed, but its closing was held just above 1090 points.
looked worse than the market of paper representatives of Steel: NLMK (-3.77%), MMK (-2.84%), Severstal (-2.59%), which received a blow in addition to the deteriorating conditions in the commodity markets and a weak report on China's Baoshan Steel, as well as pessimistic comments of its representatives in the prospects for the metallurgical industry. MMC Norilsk Nickel (-2.87%) were forced to take account of changing attitudes on the world markets to the shares of mining companies. Hedge quality producers of precious metals stocks: Polyus Gold (-0.59%) and Polymetal (-1.02%) since the fall in gold prices is not apparent. As a result, the industry index Micex MM (-2.38%) recorded the greatest losses among all sectoral indices.
In the oil and gas sector (Micex OG -1.52%) despite the sharp decline in the value of black gold investors were in no hurry to part with the shares. The last round of demand was in the preferred shares of Transneft (4.6%). Tomorrow the papers will be included in the index MSCI Russia, which will make this idea is outdated. Better opponents looked shares Gazprom Neft (-0.41%), forgetting the imposition of FAS record fine for violation of antitrust laws. Paper Rosneft (-2.27%) in anticipation of publishing a report on the US GAAP for the II quarter looked worse than competitors.
Financial Sector (Micex FNL -1.53%) due to sales of shares of financial institutions in Europe in view of the fact that the Irish government can not throw a lifeline sinking financial sector, could not boast a better than market dynamics: VTB (-1.37%), Sberbank (-1.7% obyk., Priva. -2.18%).
Energy Sector (Micex PWR -0.35%) отметился smaller net positive contribution by suffering RusHydro shares (2.32%) and shares of FGC UES (1.13%), who continued to win back expectations of a speedy transfer of network companies on a new system of tariff regulation of RAB.
look at today's market
meltdown in the Chinese stock market tarnished the last day of summer and the U.S. stock market (SP 500 -0.81%). Worries that the prevailing price levels may be more optimistic than they should, given the rise of the factors pointing to a likely slowdown in the locomotive of world economy outweighed favorable index published by the Chicago PMI and the effect of 2 major mergers and acquisitions, totaling $ 9.5 billion increased uncertainty in the stock market contributed to interest in US Treasuries and the robustness of the shares of defensive sectors. On Tuesday futures for U.S. indices (SP 500 0.23%) are in moderate plus.
Asian stock index (MSCI Asia Pacific 0.5%) before restore lost positions. The reason for the change of sentiment was the publication of the index of business activity in the manufacturing sector in China (54.0%), grown-up to the maximum of sixteen. Chinese Shanghai composite (1.72%) demonstrated growth after fell the most since the beginning of the previous day.
Publication optimistic PMI in the manufacturing sector of the Middle Kingdom has provided certainty to market participants, who decided to buy seriously fallen in price on the eve of commodity contracts. Oil prices after the closure of Russia's stock market on the sort of failed WTI below the breakpoint of $ 70 and just this morning able to cross it in the opposite direction ($ 70.32/barr.).
Russia's stock market on Tuesday with the price gap opens up within 0.5% immediately cleared up yesterday near the bottom lines of short-term uptrend, located on the MICEX index at 1097 points. Morning purchases may stall in gepe down Monday - 1100-1105 points. It is also worth noting that despite the optimistic data from China, at the auctions in Asia the former unbridled optimism, they have not caused, as in trading in U.S. stocks in mining and oil companies have lost on the eve of an average of 2% of its exchange value. The latter can haunt after the start of trading in the sector of depositary receipts in case oil prices once again will show a tendency to decrease. It should be noted that on the eve of the bidders in Russia in the absence of guidance from London, showed no desire to respond to a sharp fall in the value of black gold. During the day you should pay attention to the index PMI in industrial sphere eurozone (12-00), Britain (12-30), and the ISM index in the U.S. (18-00). Also in 18-00 are data on expenditure on construction in the U.S. and the index of pending transactions involving the sale of housing. The worst of the market today may look like Gazprom's shares and the prefecture of Transneft after the entry into force of changes in the index MSCI Russia. Supported by speakers levels in 1085 and 1075 points on the MICEX index. In general, you can expect to maintain or expand a small range of yesterday's trading. For the revision downward glance there is no reason.
Your score will be the first!
Analyst Ratings
The Fed will be able to prevent the acceleration of inflation
WTO authorized Brazil to impose sanctions on goods from the U.S.
Leading bank: Stelmakh request to amend the regulations of the NBU to protect the rights of bondholders
Crushed
Cabinet wants to deal with the absorption of small banks and the NBU is preparing a new moratorium on early withdrawal of deposits …
Ukrainian stock market began the week lower against the background of negative external dynamics
European stocks fell on Monday on fears of redundancy of the recent rally
Returning to the market a large number of participants in September may limit the rise in prices for nonferrous metals
Lead the growth of today will be oil shares, additional growth factor may be the reporting company Rosneft on the US GAAP for the second quarter
In the first hour of trading on Russia's market may experience increased volatility