Today, we look forward to the opening of trading around previous closing levels on the Russian stock markets.
On Friday, the U.S. stock market dominated by mixed sentiment among market participants. Thus the unemployment rate in January was 9.7% vs. 10.0%. At the same time the number of new jobs outside agriculture in January -20 th vs. 15 th
As a result of the trading session U.S. stock indices closed in positive territory /Dow Jones 0.1%, S P500 0.29%, NASDAQ 0.73% /.
&1000lt;br /> From a technical point of view, on Friday the Dow Jones set a new minimum in the area of 9835.09 points in the formation of the first subvolny in the third wave. At the same time evening rebound is seen as the second subvolna in the third wave, which rose to a level in 38.2% of Fibonacci from the fall on February 2.
allowed higher rebound to 10080 and 10130 points. After forming the second subvolny starts building 3-st subvolny in the third wave.
Please remember that the Dow Jones has formed a 5 wave drop down in the 1-second pulse. Then, the Dow Jones corrected fall by 23.6% -38.2% of Fibonacci to 10310-10388 items within the second wave. We began the formation of third wave to 9220.41 points.
Today the level of resistance for the market participants will mark 10310 and 10170 points. Level of support will be 9835.09 points.
All fractal purchase is a mark of 10729.89 and 10314.61 points, but on sale at around 9786.11 and 9835.09 points.
On the hourly chart for the indicator MACD “bearish” situation, and the indicator Stochastic”s in purchasing.
On the daily chart of the Dow Jones index also remained divergent boundary formation in the area of 10250 points, but the point of confirming a fracture are at elevations 9430.31 and 9684 points, which is far from current levels. At the same time on the indicator MACD bearish situation. Indicator Stochastic”s are on sale.
C global wave perspective, the Dow Jones index continued /completed the formation of a global wave, which will correct all fall by 38.2% -50% of Fibonacci to 9440-10350 counts.
Please remember that Dow Jones index on June 11 formed the first stage of the rebound in the subvolny well. Later it was the development of wave b, which consisted of zigzag “abc”, where she was too short and has only reached the range between the levels of 23.6% -38.2% by Fibonacci.
January 19, 2010 to complete final run up to the objectives 9950-10118-10159-10351-10510-11245 items in the waves with a big wave of V. Also, is still a level at around 11,245 points, representing 61.8% on Fibonacci of the total incidence.
When building a global wave ended, then had to start building a global wave C up to 2012 to 2550-3500 points.
As an alternative and more complex version, which would delay the correction for years, then in this case the correction is allowed only jumping, but not below the 9283.77 points. If the Dow Jones index goes below this milestone, then finally come to the realization of the development of wave C.
From a technical point of view, on Friday the MICEX index opened below previous levels, after which the “bears” continued the formation of downward movement.
In the second half of the trading session, after the release of macroeconomic statistics, the bulls tried to seize the initiative and win back some losses. The volume of the trading session amounted to about 77 billion rubles.
On Friday, the MICEX index doubtful whether a milestone 1,386 points, as well as the fractal for sale 1363.03 points, which are responsible for the continuation of the formation of downward movement in the third wave. As a result, the MICEX index formed a new fractal on sale 1344.77 points, which in this case is the end of the first subvolny in the third wave. The subsequent rebound to 1,375 points is regarded as the second subvolna in the third wave, and allowed a second jump to 1387-1400 points, after which the decline resumed. It is also likely that the rebound in this wave1000will be small.
In addition, the daily chart the MICEX Index is trying to cling to the lower boundary of the diagonal triangle, which is the ultimate bottom-up formation. However, confirmation of exit-test of 1200 points.
From the wave point of view in terms of the base scenario, the MICEX index formed a 5-wavelength first burn down. February 3 MICEX index formed rebound in the second wave relative to the entire drop to 1427-1443 points, consisting of a double zigzag “wxy”.
We can go to the formation of the third wave with the objectives 1326-1250-1120 points, which is 100% -161.8% -261.8% of Fibonacci. First pulse was shortened, indicating that the 3-d or fifth wave will be stretched.
As optimists, they can still count on the fact that the MICEX index corrects the growth of 27 November 2009, but it “bears” can not be fixed below 1,326 points.
Today the level of resistance will mark 1,390 points, then 1445 points, then 1472 points. Level of support will be a mark in the 1326 and 1344 points.
In addition, the indicator Stochastic”s are on sale. Indicators MACD “bearish” situation.
On the daily chart indicator Stochastic”s are on sale. In addition, the daily chart the MICEX index moves in the diagonal triangle with the upper boundary in the vicinity of 1505 points, lower in the 1360 points. This formation is the ultimate bottom-up figure.
nearest day fractal for sale is located at around 1203.15 points, while daily fractal purchase is located at around 1491.32 points. Time to buy a fractal is a mark of 1491.32 and 1455.47 points, but on sale at the mark of 1344.77 points.
The long-wave point of view in early 2010, the MICEX index continued formation of a global wave of bounces in, which began in October and November 2008, when the index formed a double bottom in the vicinity of 500 points.
So in October 2008, we noted that the optimal range of big rebound was 1055-1230 points, representing 38.2% -50% of all Fibonacci from falling, which was performed in June 2009.
However, after reaching a maximum of 2 June and the beginning of the correction, the optimists kept mark 882 points. This line allows the formation of the fifth wave, and in an alternate complexity of the double zigzag correction to the triple “WXYXXZ” within the same waves B.
Since July 13, bulls have formed a U-turn, punctures line item 882, after which initially formed the rebound to fall, and then continued to develop a large rebound due to the euphoria in the markets and ways of increasing the money supply and budget deficits, the following procedure Krugman.
So, as stated, the MICEX index could form a triple zigzag “WXYXXZ” within the same waves B. Now is the formation of Z-wave with the objectives of 1436 and 1576 points.
Our alternative layout developed for a similar picture, with the exception of internal layout, which now is the formation of a wave with a big wave in under a simple zigzag “abc”.
In a wave of “bulls” have formed a wedge in the form of the first subvolny a corrective wave c, and then the second subvolnu, reaching 545 points, representing 76.4% of the length of the Fibonacci first subvolny.
June 2 MICEX index set a new high, and completed the formation of the third subvolny. July 13 ended with the formation of the fourth subvolnu, which reached 1070-963-882 points, representing 23.6% -38.2% -50% of the length of the Fibonacci third subvolny. The1000re is /was completed the formation of the fifth subvolny, which develops in a finite diagonal triangle, the upper limit is around 1485 points. Also, the objectives of a large corrective wave B can be a mark in 1472, 1536, 1623 points.
At the same time, given that the global wave of developing triple A, the wave can reach in and double peaks in the region of 1960-1970 points, but if they continue to increase the money supply in the economy, increasing budget deficit, which will by inflating the stock bubble, as it was with the dot-komami, real estate, oil.
Once complete the rebound in the wave, it will begin building a global wave of 450-500 points, and taking into account the panic 150-250 points, and the levels can be achieved by mid-2010 and the end of 2012 that will be accompanied by a drop of oil for 15-20 dollars, the Dow Jones to 2500-3500 items. Confirmation of the medium-term reversal - Break 1200 points.
In addition, the same RTS in semilogarithmic scale in January 2009, overcame a maximum of 1997, that at the global level, breaking the long-term trend, and suggests that the growth of correctional.
On Friday, those who did not want to close short positions, we are advised to keep them up to 1326 points. The purchase was not feasible because the ranges 1384-1387 and 1363-1366 items were taken in the first hour of a single candle.
Today, those who have no position, we recommend you to jump to reopen, preferably in the area of 1387-1390 points. Those who have short positions, then we hold up to 1326, then 1250-1260 points.
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Forecasts of analysts: Today, support for the Russian sites may be a small rebound in the oil market
In the second round of presidential elections in Ukraine leader Yanukovych, Tymoshenko is behind by less than 3%
Markets might be a little bounce, but the growth prospects look dim until
Today is not expected makrostatisticheskih important U.S. data and the euro
Higher oil prices can support the shares of oil and gas companies and the Russian market as a whole
The external background is neutral for the market of Russia: America closed moderately higher, Asia is trading in different directions
Dmitry Medvedev insists on lowering interest rates for small and medium business
Today the opening of tenders is expected to nearly previous levels close to the Russian stock market
Today, we look forward to the opening of trading around previous closing levels on the Russian stock markets.
On Friday, the U.S. stock market dominated by mixed sentiment among market participants. Thus the unemployment rate in January was 9.7% vs. 10.0%. At the same time the number of new jobs outside agriculture in January -20 th vs. 15 th
As a result of the trading session U.S. stock indices closed in positive territory /Dow Jones 0.1%, S P500 0.29%, NASDAQ 0.73% /.
&1000lt;br /> From a technical point of view, on Friday the Dow Jones set a new minimum in the area of 9835.09 points in the formation of the first subvolny in the third wave. At the same time evening rebound is seen as the second subvolna in the third wave, which rose to a level in 38.2% of Fibonacci from the fall on February 2.
allowed higher rebound to 10080 and 10130 points. After forming the second subvolny starts building 3-st subvolny in the third wave.
Please remember that the Dow Jones has formed a 5 wave drop down in the 1-second pulse. Then, the Dow Jones corrected fall by 23.6% -38.2% of Fibonacci to 10310-10388 items within the second wave. We began the formation of third wave to 9220.41 points.
Today the level of resistance for the market participants will mark 10310 and 10170 points. Level of support will be 9835.09 points.
All fractal purchase is a mark of 10729.89 and 10314.61 points, but on sale at around 9786.11 and 9835.09 points.
On the hourly chart for the indicator MACD “bearish” situation, and the indicator Stochastic”s in purchasing.
On the daily chart of the Dow Jones index also remained divergent boundary formation in the area of 10250 points, but the point of confirming a fracture are at elevations 9430.31 and 9684 points, which is far from current levels. At the same time on the indicator MACD bearish situation. Indicator Stochastic”s are on sale.
C global wave perspective, the Dow Jones index continued /completed the formation of a global wave, which will correct all fall by 38.2% -50% of Fibonacci to 9440-10350 counts.
Please remember that Dow Jones index on June 11 formed the first stage of the rebound in the subvolny well. Later it was the development of wave b, which consisted of zigzag “abc”, where she was too short and has only reached the range between the levels of 23.6% -38.2% by Fibonacci.
January 19, 2010 to complete final run up to the objectives 9950-10118-10159-10351-10510-11245 items in the waves with a big wave of V. Also, is still a level at around 11,245 points, representing 61.8% on Fibonacci of the total incidence.
When building a global wave ended, then had to start building a global wave C up to 2012 to 2550-3500 points.
As an alternative and more complex version, which would delay the correction for years, then in this case the correction is allowed only jumping, but not below the 9283.77 points. If the Dow Jones index goes below this milestone, then finally come to the realization of the development of wave C.
From a technical point of view, on Friday the MICEX index opened below previous levels, after which the “bears” continued the formation of downward movement.
In the second half of the trading session, after the release of macroeconomic statistics, the bulls tried to seize the initiative and win back some losses. The volume of the trading session amounted to about 77 billion rubles.
On Friday, the MICEX index doubtful whether a milestone 1,386 points, as well as the fractal for sale 1363.03 points, which are responsible for the continuation of the formation of downward movement in the third wave. As a result, the MICEX index formed a new fractal on sale 1344.77 points, which in this case is the end of the first subvolny in the third wave. The subsequent rebound to 1,375 points is regarded as the second subvolna in the third wave, and allowed a second jump to 1387-1400 points, after which the decline resumed. It is also likely that the rebound in this wave1000will be small.
In addition, the daily chart the MICEX Index is trying to cling to the lower boundary of the diagonal triangle, which is the ultimate bottom-up formation. However, confirmation of exit-test of 1200 points.
From the wave point of view in terms of the base scenario, the MICEX index formed a 5-wavelength first burn down. February 3 MICEX index formed rebound in the second wave relative to the entire drop to 1427-1443 points, consisting of a double zigzag “wxy”.
We can go to the formation of the third wave with the objectives 1326-1250-1120 points, which is 100% -161.8% -261.8% of Fibonacci. First pulse was shortened, indicating that the 3-d or fifth wave will be stretched.
As optimists, they can still count on the fact that the MICEX index corrects the growth of 27 November 2009, but it “bears” can not be fixed below 1,326 points.
Today the level of resistance will mark 1,390 points, then 1445 points, then 1472 points. Level of support will be a mark in the 1326 and 1344 points.
In addition, the indicator Stochastic”s are on sale. Indicators MACD “bearish” situation.
On the daily chart indicator Stochastic”s are on sale. In addition, the daily chart the MICEX index moves in the diagonal triangle with the upper boundary in the vicinity of 1505 points, lower in the 1360 points. This formation is the ultimate bottom-up figure.
nearest day fractal for sale is located at around 1203.15 points, while daily fractal purchase is located at around 1491.32 points. Time to buy a fractal is a mark of 1491.32 and 1455.47 points, but on sale at the mark of 1344.77 points.
The long-wave point of view in early 2010, the MICEX index continued formation of a global wave of bounces in, which began in October and November 2008, when the index formed a double bottom in the vicinity of 500 points.
So in October 2008, we noted that the optimal range of big rebound was 1055-1230 points, representing 38.2% -50% of all Fibonacci from falling, which was performed in June 2009.
However, after reaching a maximum of 2 June and the beginning of the correction, the optimists kept mark 882 points. This line allows the formation of the fifth wave, and in an alternate complexity of the double zigzag correction to the triple “WXYXXZ” within the same waves B.
Since July 13, bulls have formed a U-turn, punctures line item 882, after which initially formed the rebound to fall, and then continued to develop a large rebound due to the euphoria in the markets and ways of increasing the money supply and budget deficits, the following procedure Krugman.
So, as stated, the MICEX index could form a triple zigzag “WXYXXZ” within the same waves B. Now is the formation of Z-wave with the objectives of 1436 and 1576 points.
Our alternative layout developed for a similar picture, with the exception of internal layout, which now is the formation of a wave with a big wave in under a simple zigzag “abc”.
In a wave of “bulls” have formed a wedge in the form of the first subvolny a corrective wave c, and then the second subvolnu, reaching 545 points, representing 76.4% of the length of the Fibonacci first subvolny.
June 2 MICEX index set a new high, and completed the formation of the third subvolny. July 13 ended with the formation of the fourth subvolnu, which reached 1070-963-882 points, representing 23.6% -38.2% -50% of the length of the Fibonacci third subvolny. The1000re is /was completed the formation of the fifth subvolny, which develops in a finite diagonal triangle, the upper limit is around 1485 points. Also, the objectives of a large corrective wave B can be a mark in 1472, 1536, 1623 points.
At the same time, given that the global wave of developing triple A, the wave can reach in and double peaks in the region of 1960-1970 points, but if they continue to increase the money supply in the economy, increasing budget deficit, which will by inflating the stock bubble, as it was with the dot-komami, real estate, oil.
Once complete the rebound in the wave, it will begin building a global wave of 450-500 points, and taking into account the panic 150-250 points, and the levels can be achieved by mid-2010 and the end of 2012 that will be accompanied by a drop of oil for 15-20 dollars, the Dow Jones to 2500-3500 items. Confirmation of the medium-term reversal - Break 1200 points.
In addition, the same RTS in semilogarithmic scale in January 2009, overcame a maximum of 1997, that at the global level, breaking the long-term trend, and suggests that the growth of correctional.
On Friday, those who did not want to close short positions, we are advised to keep them up to 1326 points. The purchase was not feasible because the ranges 1384-1387 and 1363-1366 items were taken in the first hour of a single candle.
Today, those who have no position, we recommend you to jump to reopen, preferably in the area of 1387-1390 points. Those who have short positions, then we hold up to 1326, then 1250-1260 points.
2; user rated material 5.
Analyst Ratings
Spain will reform the labor market
How to save on parking
Forecasts of analysts: Today, support for the Russian sites may be a small rebound in the oil market
In the second round of presidential elections in Ukraine leader Yanukovych, Tymoshenko is behind by less than 3%
Markets might be a little bounce, but the growth prospects look dim until
Today is not expected makrostatisticheskih important U.S. data and the euro
Higher oil prices can support the shares of oil and gas companies and the Russian market as a whole
The external background is neutral for the market of Russia: America closed moderately higher, Asia is trading in different directions
Dmitry Medvedev insists on lowering interest rates for small and medium business