The failure of the climate summit: what next?

 

Climate Summit in Copenhagen has ended, as predicted by the skeptics, nothing. In the breakdown of the agreement, experts blame China. What will happen with climate processes, which in one way or another will continue, as the Kyoto Protocol expires in 2012 and needed a more sophisticated and efficient document regulating issues of international cooperation?

After a year in Mexico City will be the next UN climate conference, and would have to run the climate talks, but all the practical solutions because of failure in Copenhagen will be taken with a delay of two years, told the party conference Alexei Kokorin, head of the program “Climate and Energy, Russia”s office of the World Wildlife Fund (WWF). But the delay is a major setback. In Copenhagen, revealed the fundamental contradiction between China, on the one hand, and Western countries, on the other. China does not want to assume any obligation and in fact opposes the entire world community, both in their time came the Bush administration, which refused to participate in the Kyoto Protocol.

As a result, in Copenhagen could not come to an agreement for all the UN resolution was adopted only a political agreement by the major industrialized countries, including Russia. “The agreement prepared by the Heads of State in person, they printed the text of the notebooks, including Dmitry Medvedev,” - shared his impressions of Mr. Kokorin. But the agreement has not been an official of the UN resolution because of opposition from the three groups of countries, each of which had their own motives. “90% of the failures - it is the responsibility of China due to the fact that the country has refused to associate himself with this agreement. China was initially severely weakened the entire course of negotiations, its position and finally tore the adoption of the UN document. This is a serious matter and will take several years to show China, that he himself does not cost more to be together with the developed countries in the climate process “, - believes Alexei Kokorin.

Other opponents of the agreement - that the Gulf states led by Saudi Arabia, which for 15 years opposing the climate convention is quite simple reason. Despite the oil windfall and the high standard of living, the Gulf legally belong to the poor, developing countries, and they absolutely do not want to lose yourf35status and pay an equal footing with developed countries. Therefore, they are in every way delay the change of status. Third group of opponents - Latin American detractors in the United States face Cuba, Nicaragua, Venezuela and Bolivia, who did not want to Copenhagen was a victory for Barack Obama. The argument for developing countries argue about the historical responsibility of developed countries for the greenhouse effect, in response to the EU recalls the scale of its funding programs to address climate change, particularly in the Amazon basin, where the external funding is a struggle with the destruction of forests.

Since the Persian Gulf and Latin Americans is quite possible to agree: their position is a compromise, they, in fact, traded. But with China, all will be much harder, because China is probably trying his strength as a superpower, which, they say, by itself. The climate summit, the presidents made substantial concessions to China, but China did not enter into any compromise, refusing to discuss any specific commitments to reduce greenhouse gas emissions by industry.

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