Well, can not our people without the election! Even these are not completed, and worthy of sovereign men already dreaming about the new electoral contests. Voters can only envy the elected demonstrating so rare in our time confidence in the future.
promise to dissolve the Verkhovna Rada of contenders for the presidency gave very willingly. Clearly, Sergei Tigipko, Arseniy Yatsenyuk or Viktor Yushchenko such boldness as to the legislative assembly was worth nothing. With the same success they could threaten the crackdown on the Polish Sejm, or the Israeli Knesset. But Viktor Yanukovych - a special paper. This was before the coveted purple - step. Acquaintance-MP recently quipped: “Tymoshenko behaved like five minutes to the president. Yanukovich behaves as if he had five days as president.”
No doubt, the impressive leg-received in the first round, permits leader OL look into the future with considerable optimism. Therefore, the leader of the blue-white fraternity, without false modesty, shares his plans with the general public. The day before yesterday gave Yanukovych a whole pile of different promises. In particular, announced the imminent appearance of the president (I mean his) decree on the restoration of the house-museum “beautiful poet, the great poet Anton Pavlovich Chekhov. And warned: “If this parliament will not work efficiently, in May 2010 to elect a different population, an effective parliament.
veleglasnoe Such a statement suggests that the venerable Viktor not read not only “Kashtanka, but also the Constitution. For there is no way to follow all procedures required by the Basic Law and thus meet before the end of spring.
And
believe that Yanukovych prenebregnet with these procedures, we strongly reject. No, can not stoop to brutal lawlessness people, so bravely criticized Yushchenko for the systematic mockery of the Constitution and so convincingly promised to restore the rule of law.
Before turning to boringchicanery, to speculate, to whom what is the use of early elections. It is easy to explain the keen interest shown by such an event, Sergei Tigipko, Arseniy Yatsenyuk and Viktor Yushchenko. The first two have the desire and the ability to have their own factions. Indifferent to the subject and my good friend Viktor. For only in Parliament, he is able to gain not only will hope to continue a political career, but also the necessary security guarantees. Does anyone doubt that delivers business Valaam Bankovoj not averse to acquire parliamentary immunity? That same immunity from any way he heroically fought the whole cadence …
proceed to more complicated mothers. Why early elections Yanukovych or Tymoshenko? Consider their reasons are necessary, but avoid the flaws in the arguments fail. Too many different “but” and “if”.
course, that any president seeking to gain control of the parliament, or at least support the parliamentary majority. Without it, his staff and legislative initiatives practically doomed. Who would not come to the finish line first, at least 226-230 votes in the Rada and to “their” government, he can count. But the majority of situational - the essence of a thing is not durable. And, most importantly, my dear. But the elections, however, also not a cheap. Again risk.
Yet Yanukovych idea of the early campaign so far like it. First, he is convinced that victory in the presidential election will allow him to make the inevitable triumph and parliamentary. And that the number of Party of Regions faction in the Rada VII Convocation will be significantly greater than the number of cells in the OL BP VI convocation. And it will allow with less manual effort to create a majority and form a government subservient. Secondly, the leader of the Regions has long itching to purge the ranks. He yearns to see more in the group”s own confidants and less confidant Akhmetov. Helmsman white and blue sure that the expected the presidency gives him that right. And extraordinary campaign - an excuse.
In case of loss (which Yanukovich did not even want to think, but which is still not excluded) for early parliamentary campaign may also be on hand. Individuals are sure: even after the defeat of their leader in the presidential race on the OL early elections to the Rada wins more than in 2007. And more than YTB. Especially if the crisis under President Tymoshenko will fight just as “effective”, as in the Timoshenko-premiere.
Yuliya
to the idea of unscheduled elections in the highest legislative body is much cooler. Sometimes such a possibility is hinted at, but usually prefers to talk about his opposition to such a scenario. Understand it can be. What-no, but the coalition it already has. Besides, legally admissible. And strengthen it (in case of victory) is much easier than creating a new one. If Yuliya win a Victoria, many of the characters will be obstinate accommodating. Although, they say, the caretaker prime minister, as its chief opponent, is also considering a rehabilitation environment. List of neglectful and furtive looks longer than it seemed. The elections to the Rada - a great opportunity to get rid of the odious, boring and not justified. But whether this will likely? If Tymoshenko becomes president, early parliamentary campaign will be for her the worst of evils. In the case of defeat, it will lose its leverage to influence the process.
However, all described - things are rather speculative. We turn to the legislative realities.
list of conditions that allow the parliament to announce the verdict, given in the 90 th article of the Constitution. Three. It was still the fourth. Let”s just say, not quite constitutional. It was used for holding early elections in 2007. Article 82 of the Basic Law stipulates: BP is subject to the election of the Plenipotentiary at least 2 /3 of its constitutional composition. This rule was invented in 1996, when there were still majority districts, and there was a risk nedoizbraniya large part of the People”s Deputy. When a rigid proportional model this possibility is excluded, but the relevant constitutional provision, no one canceled. Fuse into a trigger. Critical mass of members to voluntarily lay down the powers, the legislature was not competent, and the path to an extraordinary campaign was open. After this error corrected: the law clarified, and now the addition of massive mandates Rada”s legitimacy is no longer threatened.
Thus, the first option. The first paragraph of Article 90 allows the president to dissolve parliament if a month has not formed a coalition of parliamentary factions. Pre-term elections, according to the 77-th article of the Constitution, “shall be held within sixty days from the date of publication of the decision on dissolution of the Verkhovna Rada. Lawyers for a long time arguing about how to understand the phrase “within sixty days.” Sixty days? Or not later than sixty days? End Dispute put the final version of the profile of the law. It painted a campaign almost by day and lasts two months. Even if one wants to expedite the process, make it no longer happens.
to elections held in late May (as is Yanukovych wants to), it is necessary that the campaign began in late March. Read More »
In the coming days the attention of market participants are likely to be concentrated in the telecommunications sector
January ended for domestic stock indexes rise: MICEX increased by 3,61%, RTS added 2,01%. However, this was achieved, mainly shopping after returning from the Christmas holidays. Last week was marked by no pronounced dynamics, the major indices on the basis of the last five trading sessions, closed raznonapravlenno, but without significant changes.
This stems from the likely was the lack of clear positive signals from the incoming messages. On the one hand, the prospects for the U.S. economy and a number of fairly strong corporate records held by the “bears” on the active offensive. On the other, fear of stricter regulation of the banking sector, as discussed at the World Economic Forum in Davos, as well as cheapening oil did not give serious cause for the game to improve.
However, except, apparently, was a report on U.S. GDP for the IV quarter of 2009 Estimates of the growth of the U.S. economy far exceeded the forecasts that, despite the likelihood of downward revisions in the future, encouraged by both domestic and European sites. On Monday, the news may well continue to provide market support.
However, this week we will have a lot of new macroeconomic publications, which should provide data on business activity in industry and services in different countries, meeting of the ECB and the Bank of England, which terminated on Thursday, and, of course , the traditional Friday and report on the U.S. labor market over the past month. Foreign corporations will continue to sum up 2009, but European banks have to hold off reporting, which will reduce the influence of corporate statistics on the dynamics of the indices.
In the coming days the attention of market participants are likely to be concentrated in the telecommunications sector. This week, officials of Svyazinvest intends to return to the issue of inter-operator exchange of shares for shares of Rostelecom in the reorganization of the holding. Final decisions are unlikely to be expected, but speculative interest in the securities MRK can be quite high.
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