Almost all the blue chips are in the “green zone”: “Gazprom” (0,6%), Rosneft (1,41%), Norilsk Nickel (0,46%), Sberbank (0,31 %)

Russian stock market: the end of correction?

By 11:30 Moscow time, Russian stock indexes show positive dynamics: RTS (1,27%), MICEX (0,74%). Since it opened in positive zone with a small gepom up, Russian ground continued upward movement. Neutral speaker at the opening of European stock exchanges supports the growth of the Russian market: British FTSE balances in the region yesterday, closing, French CAS40 reduced by 0,05%.

The optimism of players on the opening contributed to yesterday”s close of U.S. indices in positive territory. Dow Jones closed at 10,296.85 on, which corresponds to an increase in 1,09%, S P500 was 1103.32 n. (1,29%).

Asia-Pacific stock index on Wednesday morning, also show positive dynamics. On the oil market on Wednesday we see the prices of almost $ 0.5 above yesterday”s values, which supports shares oil and gas sector. Price of the July futures contract for WTI crude oil is 77.59 dollars per barrel.

Almost all Russian “blue chips” at 11.30 are in the Green Zone. Quotes of the most liquid shares on MICEX are as follows: Gazprom - 193 rubles (0.6%), Lukoil - 1727 rubles (0,98%), Rosneft - 245 rubles (1,41%), Norilsk Nickel - 4802 rubles (0, 46%), Sberbank - 88.3 USD (0,31%), VTB - 0.0762 USD (0,4%), RusHydro - 1,309 rubles (0,31%).

Among them distinguish important messages: <1000br />
Severstal released its production results for the 4 th quarter and the year 2009. We estimate published operational results of Severstal as a positive, the company continues to restore capacity utilization, and the main effect of this recovery, we expect to see in 2010. Another positive factor was the growth in sales prices of virtually all products Severstal. We expect that the market will respond positively to the operating statements of the company.

CMI published operational results for the 4 th quarter and the year 2009. We appreciate opublikovannye production results as neutral, but some decrease in production in the fourth quarter could have a local pressure on stocks.

positive background in the world trading floors and high energy prices do not give the Russian market to continue its correction. Recommended to restore the position of Russian actions with local reduction. Smart investors should pay attention to the oil and gas companies, which are the most undervalued on comparative multiples with world analogues.


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Forex: The European Commission will understand how great the risks for the euro

On Wednesday morning, the situation on the forex exchange (forex) seems to be generally stable: the euro strengthened slightly against the U.S. dollar, but EUR is adjusted against other major currencies amid fears of investors about worsening Greek problems.

So, by 9:50 Moscow time the euro is worth 1.3965 against the level of 1.3962 the night before.

problems are not unique to Greece, I”m sure well-known economist Nouriel Roubini. He, meanwhile, believes that their decision would prejudge the fate of other countries who face similar difficulties.

Today the players will do another signal of the degree of risk in the market: The European Commission would give its assessment of the situation in Greef94ce. In the morning the Prime Minister said the expansion program of measures to reduce the budget: to be frozen salaries of public sector in order to increase the revenues of the budget. In addition, Papandreou spoke about plans to raise taxes on fuel and to review the whole tax strategy, re-directing it to the wealthy citizens of Greece. Read More »

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The greatest demand today will use the paper-oil sector, where the daily price increase may reach 3-4%

wait hike MICEX index to mark 1460 items

On Tuesday, U.S. stock indexes finished trading new good growth. That is, in fact, we see a repetition of the scenario of previous months, when at the beginning of a new calendar month on the market comes a wave of optimism. Exceptional occasions for more than 1% growth in stock index was not, not counting the positive corporate reporting of a number of companies and supportive data on the number of outstanding transactions on sales of houses. Against the backdrop of growing optimism on the stock exchanges have intensified and customers in commodity markets. Yesterday, shares of American oil companies rose in unison against the rise in oil prices.

Quote1000s “black gold” soared yesterday by almost 4%. Prices for Brent crude on Wednesday morning, we see at $ 76/barr. - The maximum level for the past two weeks. The increase in commodity prices can not keep them from growing even released data from the American Petroleum Institute that showed the growth of oil reserves at 4.72 million barrels. Stocks of gasoline and distillates, however, fell by 1.2 million barrels. and 1 million barrels., respectively. Dollar sank slightly against the euro (1.3970) due to a slight increase investor interest in risk. Today”s trading on Asian exchanges take place in the zone of strong growth.

opening trading on Wednesday on the Russian stock market, we will see with gepom up to 1,5%. The largest increase is expected in quotation securities of the oil sector. Here the daily increase in prices could reach 3-4%. Rise in oil prices increases the demand for commodity currencies, thus strengthening the ruble (29,95) will be another incentive to increase our stock performance. Given the fact that while the world”s stock markets remain optimistic, wait for the march to mark the MICEX index 1,460 points.

Today in the 12-00 waiting for the final of the January PMI data for the euro area. In the 13-00 waiting for December retail sales figures in the euro zone (forecast: 0.4% m /m). At 16-15 in the United States will be published January ADP employment report (estimate: -40 thousand). In the 18-00 come January ISM index in the services sector (forecast: 51.0). And finally, in the 18-30 waiting for a report on EIA crude oil stocks for the week.

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For improving the investment image of Russia will meet Igor Shuvalov

President Dmitry Medvedev was appointed First Deputy Prime Minister Igor Shuvalov responsible for improving the investment image of the country, media reports referring to the presidential aide Arkady Dvorkovich.

According to him, the problem is to improve the investment image of Russia “is highlighted in a separate direction.

Yesterday Dmitry Medvedev held a meeting on the investment climate in Russia. Capital investments in the Russian economy, according to him, in 2009, decreased by 17%, and the inflow of foreign investment - at 41%. However, Russia managed to avoid a “stampede of capital from the country,” the president believes.

While the investment climate in Russia had taken some measures that will maintain the relative stability in this area, “this does not qualitatively improve the assessment of investors of the business climate in Russia,” said Dmitry Medvedev. Read More »

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“Finam” sold its stake in Alawar Entertainment

company Alawar Entertainment, a venture fund Almaz Capital Partners and investment Finam announced an agreement under which Almaz Capital Partners buys from their “Finam” its stake in Alawar Entertainment.

Alawar Entertainment, a venture fund Almaz Capital Russia Fund I (also known as Almaz Capital /Cisco Russia Fund I) and an investment holding company “Finam” announce a deal, which resulted in the Almaz Capital Partners buys from their “Finam” belonging his stake in Alawar Entertainment. Under the deal Almaz Capital becomes the holder of 23% of the shares received by their “Finam” through several rounds of investment, since August 2007.

Over the past two and a half years Alawar significantly strengthened its leading position in the distribution of casual games in RuNet by developing their own sites and affiliate network growth. The company has issued more than 60 new products for the gaming platforms such as PC, Mac, iPhone, Sony PlayStation 3, J2ME, Android. In 2009, Alawar launched its own distribution in the markets of Ukraine, Poland, Germany and Finland. The estimated value of the company for 2.5 years increased 4.5 times and an average turnover growth over the past three years was 120% per year.

“During the cooperation with” Finam “We have made significant progress in the field of distribution of casual games in Russia, securing leadership in this segment, and is now fully ready for the new stage of development, the main thrust of which will be international expansion. With professional opportunities fund Almaz Capital, we plan to enter new markets, sales and streamline existing business processes according to international standards. We also expect that the Almaz Alawar help in achieving our financial investment strategy on the international market “, - commented on changes in shareholdings of the company CEO Alawar Entertainment Alexander Lyskovsky.

“The key element of investment strategy Almaz Capital is the investment and acquisitions of innovative companies of Russian origin, ready for dynamic development in the global markets. The company Alawar Entertainment, having achieved an explicit leadership in the market selling casual games in RuNet today is aimed at active business development in new countries. demonstrating the steady growth of its financial performance over recent years, the company is the best way possible consistent with our chosen strategy. Read More »

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Investments in the power range of the Kursk region after the transition to RAB reached nearly 3 billion rubles for the three-year period

The leaders of OAO “IDC Holding” and OAO “Center IDC” Nikolai Shvets and Evgeny Makarov, 2 February in the framework of his working trip to Kursk region met with the governor of the region Alexander Mikhailov.

During the meeting they discussed issues of execution of the agreement with the Administration of Kursk region in implementing investment programs in 2007-2011, the interaction of the regional government and “IDC Holding” to enhance energy security in the region, especially the transition from 1 January 2010 the Kursk region new method of tariff regulation RAB.

Branch of JSC “MRSC Center” - “Kurskenergo moved to RAB c base capital at the residual value (iRAB) at 10.8 billion rubles. It is planned that within thrf86ee years of work in the new system, the total volume of investments in the power complex of the region will reach nearly 3 billion rubles. Program Kurskenergo on the basis of three-year period of regulation - one of the most ambitious investment programs MRSK Center, IDC said in a statement. Read More »

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Spyker Cars Saab intends to return to profitability by 2012

Nederlands supercar manufacturer Spyker Cars NV is planning to return the car acquired its Saab brand to profitability by 2012 It is announced in a press release, the Dutch company.

This will require investment in Saab nearly $ 1 billion, of which part of the funds will provide the holder brand - the largest U.S. car manufacturer General Motors (GM). Much of this investment will be provided through a loan of 400 million euros from the European Investment Bank (EIB).

Spyker Cars expects to bring the volume of car production Saab to pre-crisis level of 100-125 thousand cars a year and concentrate on the production of a small number of models.

Recall that GM expects to complete a deal to sell Saab to mid-February this year. Based on the terms of the agreement by the end of winter after the rebranding of the Swedish manufacturer will create a new company Saab Spyker Automobiles.

Under the deal, purchase amount Saab amount of $ 74 million addition, the Dutch company will redeem shares of Saab in the amount of 326 million dollars is also one of the terms of the deal was an agreement to provide SAAB EIB loan of 400 million euros under the state guarantees the Swedish government. Read More »

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The Government proposes to lift penalties for businesses using the principle of “tacit consent”

Abolish penalties under the Code of Administrative Offenses, while carrying out business activities without the proper permits proposes Cabinet in the introduction of the so-called “principle of tacit consent.”

The governmental draft law “On Amendments to Certain Legislative Acts of Ukraine on simplification of the permitting system in the sphere of economic activity” has been registered recently in Parliament.

draft law stipulates that the deadline for issuance of permits shall be ten working days from the date of the economic entity or its authorized person the application and necessary documents. After this period, if the applicant is not issued permits or the refusal to extradite him, comes into force the principle of tacit consent.

reported earlier that the president in late 2009 signed a law “On amending some laws of Ukraine on simplification of business conditions in Ukraine”, which includes, inter alia, the introduction of the principle of tacit consent in the issuance of licensing documents. This principle implies that the economic entity, filed in the prescribed manner a statement and documents in full, but not received within the statutory period permissive nature of the document or the refusal to extradite him, gets right to engage in certain business activities without obtaining the appropriate instrument permissive . Read More »

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The current moment MICEX index adds 0.6%, reaching a level of 1425.7 points

Americans are waiting for word

Today, we expect moderate positive opening of U.S. markets on the background of good reporting companies in the U.S. and in anticipation of Paul Volcker”s speech in Congress, where he will present the plan to restrict the activities of U.S. banks. Also in 18.00 will address U.S. Treasury Secretary Tim Geithner, who will present the budget for 2011 before the Senate Finance Committee. Both performances will be tracked by the players. And if the words Geithner, may support the market, according to a draft plan Volcker, will most likely play on the side of the “bears”.

hours trading on the American sites have opened growth of quotations, despite the negative data on the index of personal spending. Support for “bulls” were represented in the Congress of the draft budget for 2011, with particular emphasis on measures aimed at stimulating the private sector and the creation of new jobs. This enabled the main indexes in the first minutes of trading to add about 0,5%. In the future, support for market data is provided on an index of business activity in the manufacturing industry. The positive dynamic1000s of the markets remained until the end of the session. As a result of the auctions the index Dow Jones and S P500 added 1,17% and 1,43% respectively, the NASDAQ index rose by 1.11%.

At the morning session, futures on S P500 index showed growth of quotations, amid reports of U.S. companies, but after reaching the 1,091 point level, began rehabilitative decline, which resulted in a 17.00 contract is trading at 1,087 points.

Meanwhile, Russia”s stock market has lost part of growth. By the current moment MICEX index adds 0.6%, reaching a level of 1425.7 points. As leaders of growth “prefecture Rostelecom (4.8%). On the negative territory traded Tatneft and Mosenergo, losing about 0.3%. In the future dynamics of Russia”s market will be based on the dynamics of the western sites. It should be noted that currently the MICEX index test “line of the neck” in the model upside down “head - shoulders. If we assume that the Western markets today will continue the upward momentum, and our market will close above current levels, the goal of the technical model will become more likely.

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In the short term, Russia”s market looks promising, the indices in the near future may well go to new highs

Today, against the background of positive U.S. and European market dynamics we are growing up in all the papers. Finally there was a correction in oil prices upwards, which gave cause for optimism to market participants. It was evident that this growth expected to last 2-3 players of the day: sales were not very aggressive, the players were hoping that the market will provide an opportunity to go higher.

In the short term, our market looks very encouraging. There are still all over the world there are many cheap financial resources, oil price fears do not cause, so that the domestic indices in the near future may well go to a new horse.

From the main negative factors remains weak demand for resources around the world, except China, which makes the already cheap Russia”s stock overvalued.
Corrective downward movement more real early in the second quarter than it is. China has begun taking steps to reduce the expansion in the domestic market, building excess capacity. Thus, in March, when will decrease in the activity of Chinese producers and consumers, it will affect all the markets (the market of resources, market, related to the transport of metals, etc.). While the worldwide reign optimism, as is evident from published yesterday, the industrial index. Against this backdrop, many funds are recorded. All this points to the fact that we come to the local maximum in terms of the productive sector. At the beginning of the second quarter we may see a downward move, the company will be careful to give predictions. During this period there is a danger the oil passage 200-day moving average, which recently has been far from current prices. In our market it can be perceived as a signal to commit, including those from major market participants.

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